The Inversion Principle: A Pre-Mortem for Your Business

Inspired by the backward-in-time logic of 'Tenet', the societal collapse of 'Nightfall', and the data-driven analysis of industrial production, this course reframes risk management. Instead of trying to predict the future, students learn to define a future failure state and work backward to understand how it would happen. This is the 'Pre-Mortem'.

The story of the course is simple: Most businesses operate in 'daylight', optimizing for efficiency in a stable world. This course prepares them for the 'nightfall'—the inevitable, unforeseen black swan event that shatters the status quo. It's not about surviving the crisis, but about building a business that is already immune to it.

The concept is 'Operational Inversion'. The course provides a step-by-step framework:
1. Map the System: Students use simple, low-cost tools (like spreadsheets or free diagram software) to create a detailed map of their entire operational reality—from raw material suppliers to final customer delivery. This is their 'industrial production' blueprint.
2. Define the 'Nightfall': They are given a framework to create plausible, high-impact disaster scenarios. Examples: 'The Key Supplier Vanishes', 'The Shipping Lane Closes', 'The Core Software Fails'.
3. Run the Inversion: This is the core of the course. Students take a disaster scenario and work backward, step-by-step, to identify the 'first domino' to fall within their own system map. This inverted timeline reveals hidden dependencies and single points of failure that traditional forward-looking risk analysis always misses.
4. Engineer Antifragility: The final modules focus on actionable, low-cost strategies to fix the identified vulnerabilities, turning fragile processes into resilient or even antifragile systems.

This niche course targets a high-value problem for small to medium-sized businesses, making it a low-cost, high-potential project for an individual creator with expertise in operations or risk management.