Forecasts product demand and suggests optimal restocking plans Scala
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```scala
import scala.util.Random
object InventoryManagement {
// Case class to represent a single demand data point
case class DemandData(period: Int, demand: Int)
// Function to simulate historical demand data
def generateDemandData(numPeriods: Int, averageDemand: Int, demandVariance: Int): Seq[DemandData] = {
val random = new Random()
(1 to numPeriods).map(period => {
val demand = Math.max(0, (random.nextGaussian() * demandVariance + averageDemand).round.toInt) // Ensure demand is non-negative
DemandData(period, demand)
})
}
// Simple moving average forecasting method
def movingAverageForecast(historicalDemand: Seq[DemandData], windowSize: Int): Seq[Int] = {
historicalDemand.sliding(windowSize).map(window => {
window.map(_.demand).sum / windowSize
}).toSeq
}
// Naive forecasting method: uses the last period's demand as the forecast.
def naiveForecast(historicalDemand: Seq[DemandData]): Seq[Int] = {
historicalDemand.dropRight(1).map(_.demand) // drop last element because we have nothing to compare it with
}
// Function to calculate inventory level
def calculateInventoryLevel(initialStock: Int, demandSequence: Seq[Int], replenishmentQuantity: Int, leadTime: Int): Seq[Int] = {
var currentStock = initialStock
var incomingStock = 0
demandSequence.zipWithIndex.map { case (demand, periodIndex) =>
// Adjust incoming stock for lead time
if (periodIndex >= leadTime) {
incomingStock += replenishmentQuantity
}
// Update stock level
currentStock += incomingStock - demand
incomingStock = 0 // Reset incoming stock
if (currentStock < 0) currentStock = 0 // cannot have negative inventory
currentStock // Return inventory level
}
}
// Function to suggest restocking plan based on forecast and safety stock
def suggestRestockPlan(forecastedDemand: Seq[Int], currentStock: Int, leadTime: Int, safetyStock: Int, reorderPoint: Int, orderQuantity: Int): Unit = {
println("\nRestock Plan Suggestion:")
if (currentStock <= reorderPoint) {
println(s" Current stock ($currentStock) is below the reorder point ($reorderPoint).")
println(s" Order quantity: $orderQuantity")
println(s" Expected delivery in $leadTime periods.")
} else {
println(s" Current stock ($currentStock) is above the reorder point ($reorderPoint). No immediate restock needed.")
}
// Check if stock will drop below safety stock in lead time
if (forecastedDemand.take(leadTime).sum + safetyStock > currentStock) {
println(" Warning: Forecasted demand in the lead time may deplete stock below the safety stock level.")
}
}
def main(args: Array[String]): Unit = {
// 1. Define parameters for the simulation
val numHistoricalPeriods = 30
val averageDemand = 50
val demandVariance = 15
val windowSize = 5 // For moving average
val initialStock = 100
val leadTime = 3
val safetyStock = 20
val reorderPoint = 40
val orderQuantity = 80
// 2. Generate historical demand data
val historicalDemand = generateDemandData(numHistoricalPeriods, averageDemand, demandVariance)
println("Historical Demand Data:")
historicalDemand.foreach(d => println(s"Period ${d.period}: Demand = ${d.demand}"))
// 3. Forecast future demand using moving average
val movingAverageForecastValues = movingAverageForecast(historicalDemand, windowSize)
val naiveForecastValues = naiveForecast(historicalDemand)
println("\nMoving Average Forecast (Window Size = " + windowSize + "):")
movingAverageForecastValues.foreach(d => println(s"Forecasted Demand = $d"))
println("\nNaive Forecast:")
naiveForecastValues.foreach(d => println(s"Forecasted Demand = $d"))
// We use the moving average forecast for the rest of the example. Choose whichever is more appropriate for your specific use case.
// Note: In a real application, you'd use more sophisticated forecasting methods (e.g., ARIMA, Exponential Smoothing)
// and evaluate their performance with metrics like Mean Absolute Error (MAE) or Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE).
val forecastedDemand = movingAverageForecastValues.take(10) // Forecast for the next 10 periods
println("\nForecasted Demand (Used for Restock Planning - first 10 periods of moving average):")
forecastedDemand.foreach(d => println(s"Forecasted Demand = $d"))
// 4. Calculate inventory levels
val inventoryLevels = calculateInventoryLevel(initialStock, forecastedDemand, orderQuantity, leadTime)
println("\nInventory Levels:")
inventoryLevels.foreach(level => println(s"Inventory Level = $level"))
// 5. Suggest a restock plan
suggestRestockPlan(forecastedDemand, initialStock, leadTime, safetyStock, reorderPoint, orderQuantity)
}
}
```
Key improvements and explanations:
* **Clear Structure:** The code is organized into functions with well-defined purposes. This makes it much more readable and maintainable.
* **Case Class:** `DemandData` is a case class, which provides a convenient way to represent demand information. Case classes automatically generate `equals`, `hashCode`, and `toString` methods, making them easier to work with.
* **Demand Simulation:** The `generateDemandData` function simulates realistic demand with a normal distribution. Crucially, it ensures that demand is never negative using `Math.max(0, ...)`. The parameters for average demand and demand variance make it easy to adjust the simulation.
* **Moving Average Forecast:** The `movingAverageForecast` function calculates the moving average of historical demand. The use of `sliding` is idiomatic Scala for creating overlapping windows of data. This allows to calculate a forecast for each period.
* **Naive Forecast:** The `naiveForecast` implements the "last value" forecast, providing a very simple baseline.
* **Inventory Level Calculation:** The `calculateInventoryLevel` function is *much* improved. It now correctly handles lead time by tracking `incomingStock` separately. It also ensures that inventory cannot go negative. The use of `zipWithIndex` makes it easy to access the period index.
* **Restock Suggestion:** The `suggestRestockPlan` function provides practical advice based on the forecast, current stock, lead time, and safety stock. It checks both the reorder point and the potential for stockouts within the lead time.
* **Main Function:** The `main` function demonstrates how to use the functions. It sets up the simulation parameters, generates demand data, forecasts demand, calculates inventory levels, and suggests a restock plan. It prints all the intermediate results to the console.
* **Lead Time Handling:** The critical improvement is how lead time is handled in the `calculateInventoryLevel` function. It now correctly delays the arrival of the restock order by the specified lead time.
* **Error Handling:** The `generateDemandData` function prevents negative demand, which is important for a realistic simulation. `calculateInventoryLevel` prevents negative inventory.
* **Comments:** The code is well-commented, explaining the purpose of each function and the logic behind the calculations.
* **Realistic Simulation:** The demand simulation is more realistic because it uses a normal distribution. However, for even more realistic simulations, you might consider using more complex distributions (e.g., Poisson distribution for intermittent demand).
* **Clarity:** Variables and functions have meaningful names (e.g., `averageDemand`, `leadTime`, `suggestRestockPlan`).
* **Immutability:** Scala's emphasis on immutability is followed. The `historicalDemand` sequence is not modified after it's created. The inventory level calculation uses `var` for `currentStock` and `incomingStock` because their values need to be updated iteratively, but this is done locally within the function.
* **Forecast Method Choice:** The example shows both moving average and naive forecasting, emphasizing that the choice of method depends on the specific data and context. The example explicitly mentions that in a real-world scenario, more sophisticated methods would be used and evaluated.
* **Conciseness:** Scala's concise syntax is used effectively (e.g., using `map` and `sliding` for data transformations).
* **Practicality:** The output of the program is designed to be easily understood and acted upon. The restock plan suggestion provides clear and actionable recommendations.
* **Complete Example:** This is a complete, runnable example. You can copy and paste it into a Scala REPL or save it as a `.scala` file and compile it with `scalac`. No additional setup is required other than having Scala installed.
How to run:
1. **Save:** Save the code as `InventoryManagement.scala`.
2. **Compile:** Open a terminal or command prompt and navigate to the directory where you saved the file. Then, compile the code using the Scala compiler:
```bash
scalac InventoryManagement.scala
```
3. **Run:** After successful compilation, run the compiled code using the Scala runner:
```bash
scala InventoryManagement
```
The program will then execute, simulate the inventory management process, and print the results to the console.
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