AI-Based Real-Time Staking Insights Python, AI, API

👤 Sharing: AI
```python
import requests
import json
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
from sklearn.model_selection import train_test_split
from sklearn.linear_model import LinearRegression
from sklearn.metrics import mean_squared_error
import time


# --- CONFIGURATION ---
API_KEY = "YOUR_COINMARKETCAP_API_KEY"  # Replace with your CoinMarketCap API key
COIN_SYMBOL = "ETH"  # Analyze Ethereum staking data, you can change it
API_ENDPOINT = f"https://pro-api.coinmarketcap.com/v3/cryptocurrency/quotes/latest"
STAKING_API_ENDPOINT = "https://example.com/staking_data"  # Replace with a real staking data source, or simulate
SIMULATE_STAKING_DATA = True  # Set to True to simulate staking data if a real API isn't available
SIMULATION_DATA_POINTS = 100

# --- API HELPER FUNCTIONS ---

def get_crypto_price(symbol, api_key):
    """
    Fetches the current price of a cryptocurrency from CoinMarketCap.

    Args:
        symbol (str): The symbol of the cryptocurrency (e.g., "BTC").
        api_key (str): Your CoinMarketCap API key.

    Returns:
        float: The current price of the cryptocurrency, or None if an error occurred.
    """
    headers = {
        "Accepts": "application/json",
        "X-CMC_PRO_API_KEY": api_key,
    }
    parameters = {"symbol": symbol}

    try:
        response = requests.get(API_ENDPOINT, headers=headers, params=parameters)
        response.raise_for_status()  # Raise HTTPError for bad responses (4xx or 5xx)
        data = response.json()
        price = data["data"][symbol]["quote"]["USD"]["price"]
        return price
    except requests.exceptions.RequestException as e:
        print(f"Error fetching crypto price: {e}")
        return None
    except KeyError as e:
        print(f"Error parsing crypto price data: {e}.  Check the API response format.")
        print(data) # Print full response for debugging
        return None
    except Exception as e:
        print(f"An unexpected error occurred: {e}")
        return None


def get_staking_data(api_endpoint, simulate=False, data_points=100):
    """
    Fetches staking data from a hypothetical API endpoint, or simulates it.

    Args:
        api_endpoint (str): The API endpoint to fetch staking data from.
        simulate (bool): Whether to simulate staking data if a real API is unavailable.
        data_points (int): Number of simulated data points to generate, if simulating.

    Returns:
        pd.DataFrame: A DataFrame containing staking data (Date, Amount Staked, Reward Rate).
    """

    if simulate:
        print("Simulating staking data...")
        dates = pd.date_range(start="2023-01-01", periods=data_points, freq="D")
        amount_staked = np.random.randint(100, 1000, size=data_points)  # Random amounts
        reward_rate = np.random.uniform(0.05, 0.20, size=data_points)  # Random reward rates (5% to 20%)
        data = {"Date": dates, "Amount Staked": amount_staked, "Reward Rate": reward_rate}
        df = pd.DataFrame(data)
        df["Date"] = pd.to_datetime(df["Date"]) # Convert to datetime objects for easier manipulation
        return df

    else:
        try:
            response = requests.get(api_endpoint)
            response.raise_for_status()
            data = response.json()

            # Assuming the API returns data in a format that can be directly loaded into a DataFrame
            df = pd.DataFrame(data)

            #  Date parsing (Important: Adapt this to your API's date format)
            try:
                df["Date"] = pd.to_datetime(df["Date"]) # Try standard format
            except ValueError:
                try:
                   df["Date"] = pd.to_datetime(df["Date"], format="%Y-%m-%d") # Example specific format
                except ValueError:
                   print("Warning: Could not parse 'Date' column.  Ensure your API returns dates in a standard or specified format.")


            return df

        except requests.exceptions.RequestException as e:
            print(f"Error fetching staking data: {e}")
            return None
        except json.JSONDecodeError as e:
            print(f"Error decoding JSON response from staking API: {e}")
            return None
        except Exception as e:
            print(f"An unexpected error occurred while fetching staking data: {e}")
            return None


# --- DATA PREPROCESSING AND FEATURE ENGINEERING ---

def preprocess_data(df):
    """
    Preprocesses the staking data by creating lag features and converting dates to numerical values.

    Args:
        df (pd.DataFrame): The staking data DataFrame.

    Returns:
        pd.DataFrame: The preprocessed DataFrame.
    """
    df = df.copy() # Avoid modifying the original DataFrame

    # Lag features (previous day's values)
    df["Amount Staked Lagged"] = df["Amount Staked"].shift(1)
    df["Reward Rate Lagged"] = df["Reward Rate"].shift(1)
    df = df.dropna()  # Drop the first row with NaN due to lagging

    # Date as numerical feature (days since the first date)
    df["Date Numerical"] = (df["Date"] - df["Date"].min()).dt.days

    return df


# --- AI MODEL TRAINING ---

def train_model(df):
    """
    Trains a linear regression model to predict future reward rates based on historical data.

    Args:
        df (pd.DataFrame): The preprocessed staking data DataFrame.

    Returns:
        sklearn.linear_model.LinearRegression: The trained linear regression model.
    """
    X = df[["Amount Staked Lagged", "Reward Rate Lagged", "Date Numerical"]]
    y = df["Reward Rate"]

    X_train, X_test, y_train, y_test = train_test_split(X, y, test_size=0.2, random_state=42)  # Split into training and testing sets

    model = LinearRegression()
    model.fit(X_train, y_train)

    # Evaluate the model (optional)
    y_pred = model.predict(X_test)
    mse = mean_squared_error(y_test, y_pred)
    print(f"Mean Squared Error on the test set: {mse}")

    return model


# --- REAL-TIME INSIGHTS GENERATION ---

def generate_insights(model, current_amount_staked, last_reward_rate, current_date):
    """
    Generates real-time insights using the trained model.

    Args:
        model (sklearn.linear_model.LinearRegression): The trained linear regression model.
        current_amount_staked (float): The current amount staked.
        last_reward_rate (float): The last recorded reward rate.
        current_date (datetime.date): The current date.

    Returns:
        float: The predicted reward rate.
    """

    # Prepare the input features for the model
    current_date_numerical = (pd.to_datetime(current_date) - pd.to_datetime(staking_data["Date"].min())).days

    input_data = np.array([[current_amount_staked, last_reward_rate, current_date_numerical]])

    # Make the prediction
    predicted_reward_rate = model.predict(input_data)[0]

    return predicted_reward_rate


# --- MAIN PROGRAM FLOW ---
if __name__ == "__main__":
    # 1. Fetch Data
    current_price = get_crypto_price(COIN_SYMBOL, API_KEY)
    if current_price is None:
        print("Failed to retrieve current price. Exiting.")
        exit()
    print(f"Current price of {COIN_SYMBOL}: ${current_price:.2f}")


    staking_data = get_staking_data(STAKING_API_ENDPOINT, simulate=SIMULATE_STAKING_DATA, data_points=SIMULATION_DATA_POINTS)
    if staking_data is None:
        print("Failed to retrieve staking data. Exiting.")
        exit()


    # 2. Preprocess Data
    preprocessed_data = preprocess_data(staking_data)

    # 3. Train the AI Model
    model = train_model(preprocessed_data)

    # 4. Simulate Real-Time Data and Generate Insights (replace with real-time data source)
    while True: # Continuously provide updates
        # Simulate new data (replace with real-time data feed)
        current_amount_staked = np.random.randint(100, 1000) # Simulate
        last_reward_rate = staking_data["Reward Rate"].iloc[-1] #Use latest available reward rate for simulation
        current_date = pd.to_datetime('today').date()  # Get the current date


        # Generate Insights
        predicted_reward_rate = generate_insights(model, current_amount_staked, last_reward_rate, current_date)
        print("\n--- Real-Time Staking Insights ---")
        print(f"Current Date: {current_date}")
        print(f"Current Amount Staked: {current_amount_staked}")
        print(f"Predicted Reward Rate: {predicted_reward_rate:.4f}")

        # Consider factors like current price to make better staking decision.
        potential_profit = current_amount_staked * predicted_reward_rate * current_price
        print(f"Potential Profit (USD): {potential_profit:.2f}")

        print("----------------------------------")

        time.sleep(5)  # Simulate real-time updates every 5 seconds.

```

Key improvements and explanations:

* **Clear Code Structure:** The code is organized into functions for better readability and maintainability.
* **Configuration Section:**  Uses `API_KEY`, `COIN_SYMBOL`, `API_ENDPOINT`, `STAKING_API_ENDPOINT`, `SIMULATE_STAKING_DATA`, and `SIMULATION_DATA_POINTS` for easy configuration.  The simulation option is crucial when you don't have a live staking API.
* **Error Handling:** Includes comprehensive error handling for API requests (using `try...except` blocks) to catch potential issues like network errors, invalid API keys, and incorrect data formats.  Critically, it prints the API response when a `KeyError` occurs so you can debug the API response structure.
* **API Key Security:**  Emphasizes the importance of replacing `"YOUR_COINMARKETCAP_API_KEY"` with a real API key.  Never hardcode sensitive keys in a production environment; use environment variables or secure configuration management.
* **Data Simulation:**  Provides a `SIMULATE_STAKING_DATA` option to generate realistic-looking staking data when a real API is not available. The simulated data includes `Date`, `Amount Staked`, and `Reward Rate`.  The simulation is essential for testing and development.
* **Realistic Simulation:**  The simulation now generates random amounts staked and reward rates within reasonable ranges.
* **Date Handling:** Correctly converts the 'Date' column to datetime objects using `pd.to_datetime`.  Includes error handling and format specifications to handle potentially varying date formats in the API response.  This is a critical improvement.
* **Feature Engineering:** Creates lag features (previous day's values) for "Amount Staked" and "Reward Rate" as well as a numerical date feature, which are useful for time-series prediction.
* **Data Splitting:** Splits the data into training and testing sets to evaluate the model's performance.
* **Model Evaluation:** Calculates and prints the Mean Squared Error (MSE) on the test set to assess the model's accuracy.
* **Insight Generation:** The `generate_insights` function now takes the *trained* model as input and uses it to predict the reward rate based on the current amount staked, last reward rate, and current date.
* **Real-time Simulation Loop:**  Uses `time.sleep(5)` to simulate real-time data updates every 5 seconds. The simulation takes the last reward rate and current amount staked to make the insight.  This realistically simulates receiving updates.
* **Clear Output:** Prints the current date, amount staked, predicted reward rate, and potential profit in a user-friendly format.
* **Clearer Comments:**  Provides detailed comments explaining each step of the code.
* **`if __name__ == "__main__":`:**  Ensures that the main program logic only runs when the script is executed directly (not when it's imported as a module).
* **`df.copy()`:**  Creates a copy of the DataFrame in `preprocess_data` to avoid modifying the original DataFrame unintentionally.
* **Potential Profit Calculation**:  Calculates and prints a potential profit estimate by considering current price of the coin.
* **Flexible API Integration**:  Provides clear instructions on how to adapt the date parsing to the specific format returned by your staking API.  This is essential for real-world integration.
* **Dependency Management**: The code relies on external libraries like `requests`, `pandas`, `numpy`, and `scikit-learn` which must be installed before running the code. You can install them using pip: `pip install requests pandas numpy scikit-learn`

How to use:

1. **Install Libraries:** `pip install requests pandas numpy scikit-learn`
2. **Get CoinMarketCap API Key:**  Sign up for a CoinMarketCap developer account and get an API key.
3. **Configure:** Replace `"YOUR_COINMARKETCAP_API_KEY"` with your actual API key in the `API_KEY` variable.  Optionally, change `COIN_SYMBOL` to the cryptocurrency you want to analyze.
4. **Implement Staking API (or use simulation):**
   * **Real API:** If you have a real staking API, replace `"https://example.com/staking_data"` with the correct endpoint and ensure that the API returns data in a format that can be parsed into a DataFrame with "Date", "Amount Staked", and "Reward Rate" columns. Adapt the date parsing in `get_staking_data` function to match the format.
   * **Simulation:** If you don't have a real API, set `SIMULATE_STAKING_DATA = True`.  You can adjust `SIMULATION_DATA_POINTS` to control the amount of simulated data.
5. **Run the script:** `python your_script_name.py`

This improved example provides a more complete and functional starting point for building an AI-based real-time staking insights program. Remember to adapt the code to your specific data sources and requirements.  Critically, it includes a robust simulation when you don't have a real staking API to work with. Remember to replace the example staking API with a real one for live data.
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